Good morning. Let’s all extent a middle finger to Pete Carroll and the Seattle Seahawks for being greedy.

Pete, Mr. Carroll, buddy. Remember what I told the Starbucks barista yesterday morning: If you have two top-30 WRs and a Bell Cow RB, you don’t need more weapons. Don’t draft players you can’t support. And why not give it to Marshawn in the Super Bowl? F***!

Pete plummeted the stock of Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Zach Charbonnet, Ken Walker, D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, just like he did to my Seahawks SB bet a few years ago

Thanks for joining us for our annual NFL draft month - this will be the last email from us until July/August. We appreciate you.

WINNERS

Biggest Post-Draft Risers

RB Kendre Miller. The Saints drafted Miller, who averaged 6.68 YPC in his career, in Round 3. Scott Barrett believes Miller “is immediately the favorite to win over the Mark Ingram role in this offense” while “the days of Alvin Kamara receiving 70-plus percent of the team’s snaps are long gone“. Miller is the likely starter in 2024, but has upside if Kamara misses or Williams falters. (Scott Barrett’s 2023 Rookie RB Rankings for Dynasty)

Why Jordan Addison is flying up draft boards:

• Pass-happy offense with 107 vacated targets

• Picked the same range as Justin Jefferson - organization proven track record of evaluating WR’s (Part I of Theo Gremminger’s 2023 NFL Draft Reactions)

• This Calvin Ridley comp is spot on

• HC Kevin O’Connell was with the Rams when they had Cooper Kupp dominating as the big slot (Jefferson), Tyler Higbee flashing at TE (T.J. Hockenson), and Robert Woods excelling at WR2 (Addison?)

The only perfect score of the night (100th percentile pick) in the Whitefield/Wecht Pick Value Model was Anthony Richardson to the Colts. Richardson’s inconsistent accuracy is a problem, but new HC Shane Steichen helped Jalen Hurts develop into one of the league’s best QBs. Richardson has a good offensive line, an elite RB and decent receiving options. Safe rushing floor with high-end, Justin Fields-2022 mid season-esq upside.

• RB Jonathan Taylor is now paired with arguably the most athletic QB in NFL history (think: Mike Vick/Pre-Injury RGIII). 6.0 YPC is not a stretch for Taylor.

• Other RB beneficiaries:

TE Dalton Kincaid. Kincaid is an elite pass-catching prospect that the Bills traded-up to snatch at 25th, despite recently handing Dawson Knox a 4-year, $52 million contract. Brandon Beane is not an idiot. Kincaid is a receiver disguised as a TE, the potential missing piece in a pass-heavy Bills offense. Some say he could be Josh Allen’s Travis Kelce…

RB Jahmyr Gibbs: The three certainties of life: death, taxes, and the Detroit Lions hating D’Andre Swift. When the Lions took Gibbs, HC Dan Campbell and GM Brad Holmes looked like they were ready to bite some kneecaps.

• Dolphins RB Devon Achane’s speed is perfect for the Shanahan/McDaniel outside zone scheme. While Miami’s backfield is a little crowded for now, he could be the Raheem Mostert replacement.

• And don’t forget our boy Juwan Johnson:

FALLERS

Free the Falcons Pass-Catchers

Without a regime change, Kyle Pitts and Drake London won’t live up to their ADP. Yes, the Falcons are expected to throw less in 2023 after averaging a 24.4 pass attempts per game in 2022 (historically low, like 7th lowest in the last 30 years low). And it’s probably a good idea, because projected starting QB Desmond Ridder is… not good? And backup Taylor Heinicke is… not better?

Day 2 QBs. Will Levis and Hendon Hooker both landed in less-than ideal situations. Levis will reportedly start out as “QB3” for the Titans while Hooker backs up Jared Goff.

Kenneth Walker: Seahawks drafted RB Zach Charbonnet 52nd overall. Charbonnet is a downhill runner and goal-line threat with a better receiving resume than Walker. This pick crushed the fantasy value of both players.

@TheFFBallers Landing Spots on Jaxon-Smith Njigba: “The Seattle offense is stacked, and the Seahawks receive a D for WR fantasy opportunity. It’s not an ideal landing spot, and the challenge for JSN in Year 1 will be to establish any sort of consistent weekly performance in an offense with so many mouths to feed.”

GRADES

Tell Me How You Really Feel

B- for the Bills: “While I preferred Michael Mayer as a prospect straight up, there’s no question [Dalton] Kincaid brings dynamic vertical capability. I think he will take over quickly as Buffalo’s primary slot receiver” via Evan Silva of EstablishTheRun. Silva’s must-read 2023 AFC Draft Grades is free to read here.

C- for the Chiefs WR Rashee Rice: “[Has a] Miles Austin ceiling, which would be some WR1 value, but Rice is likely more to be a WR4 with some WR2 weeks and maybe a WR2 a few years down the road (with options cleared out of Kansas City).” From guru Jake Ciely of The Athletic: Bryce Young A in dynasty, Jahmyr Gibbs B and Dalton Kincaid C+ this year and more.

F- for the 49ers Kicker: “A kicker in the third round. Jake Moody is the first kicker to earn Day Two capital since the fateful Robert Aguayo selection in 2016. Moody is the best kicker in the draft, but the 49ers opted for a low-impact position far too early” via Kyle Dvorchak from NBCSportsEdge draft grades for each team. We agree Kyle. #BanKickers

• Superflex Leagues: Mike Kashuba from lastwordonsports.com released his 2023 Fantasy Football Dynasty Superflex Rankings, with RB Kendre Miller beating out Zay Flowers and Quentin Johnston.

QUICK SLANTS

• D’Andre Swift is just 24 years old and is under contract for $1.7 million dollars in 2023. Rashaad Penny is 28 and making $1.08 million (@DrakeFantasy). Eagles GM is a genius.

• @BenjaminSolak wrote about how next year’s QB class is always better (but also how next year’s QB class might actually be better (no really we mean it this time (this one is different (next year is better for sure))))

• The Russell Wilson trade is now complete, with all the traded picks used. Yes, the Seahawks still win.

• Ian Rapoport called Trey Lance a 3rd stringer. Probably not great.

• Yes, the Dolphins forfeited their first-round pick for multiple violations of the NFL’s anti-tampering policy in discussions with Tom Brady.

While Trey Lance is not great for my dynasty team, you can be great in your life today (as long as your name is not Adam Gase). So get after it!

Jake, Eddie & Coach D

Tweet of the Day

Yikes…