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🏈 Guess who's back?
The Offseason & Draft Edition, plus holding Bruce Arians at Gunpoint
Remember Cam Newton's "I'M BAAAAACK"?
That's what we feel like right now.We're back finding and delivering fantasy football alpha. Back keeping you updated on what Applebees Urban Meyer is dancing at. Back in your inbox.
It's us - the Morning Huddle.
You're probably thinking "finally, we've missed you so much" or "yes, the one email I enjoy" or even "how the f*** is Matt Patricia worth $10 million".
We got you. And we're following this schedule until the NFL Draft on Thursday, April 28:
Weekly newsletter on Monday mornings @ 6:00 AM EST covering all things NFL off-season (the draft, trades, memes, Washington's disaster of a franchise).
Weekly podcast on Monday mornings for an audio version of the newsletter to cover all you commuters. Coach Wehler is running this podcast - you can listen on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
We added two great team members: a former college coach (Coach Wehler) and sports/law expert (Matt) + joined a new platform (beehiiv).
Without further ado, let's get into it. We've got 1) Offseason Recap 2) NFL Draft Info 3) A funny Bruce Arians story. Let's gooooo:
NFL's been busy
If you haven't heard, the NFL off-season has been the wildest one in recent memory. Kenyan Drake summed it up well.
league looking like madden franchise mode
— Kenyan Drake™ (@KDx32)
5:32 PM • Mar 23, 2022
For a TLDR of this offseason:
Quarterbacks
Jim Irsay is clearly thrilled Matt Ryan is on the Colts, as Ryan was more accurate than Wentz at every level of the field last year - a big upgrade for Michael Pittman. Carson Wentz was acquired by the Washington Commanders (yup, that's their name now), which makes sense as part of their vast money laundering and embezzlement scheme, per Scott Barrett.
Russell Wilson teams up with Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy on the Broncos, Deshaun Watson replaces Baker Mayfield on the Browns, and Baker prepares to record a podcast explaining his thoughts - the same podcast former Browns QB Johnny Manziel appeared on.
Why Jalen Hurts could take a massive leap this year and is extremely underrated.
Former Bears QB Mitch Trubisky signed with the Steelers - great news for Bengals, Ravens, and Browns fans.
Andy Dalton with the Saints, and Colin Kaepernick might be back...
Marcus Mariota signed a 2-year deal and is slated to be the starter in ATL. Kyle Pitts was right:
Wide Receivers
You know this already, but:
Davante Adams signed a 5-year, $141+ million deal to join his former college QB on the Raiders, Tyreek Hill signed with the Dolphins for 4/$120 and HC Mike McDaniel wants to use him like Deebo Samuel.
Amari Cooper joined the Browns in exchange for a washing machine (a 5th), and Bobby Trees (Robert Woods) will hopefully be better than Julio Jones was on the Titans. Allen Robinson replaces Woods on the LA Rams and Calvin Ridley is suspended for the year because he'd rather play DFS than NFL football. Can't blame him.
Other WRs in new homes include JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC), Russell Gage (TB), Marquez Vales-Scantling (KC), Christian Kirk (JAX), Devante Parker (NE) and DJ Chark (DET). The biggest concern here? JuJu & Jackson Mahomes on Tik Tok.
Keep an eye on D.K. Metcalf, who can be had at "the right price" despite the team saying he is not available, per @JFowlerESPN. Tyler Lockett should also be moved, but you never know. Lockett also passed a real estate agent class this offseason, if you're looking for a home. Too early to stash Seahawks WRs Freddie Swain or D’Wayne Eskridge? Asking for a friend.
Here's a helpful Dynasty Breakdown of the top WRs moves by The Commish.
Other Moves
The RB and TE market was a quiet one, so we've combined them here: Taysom Hill will focus on TE this season and might just be a cheat code (again). James Conner resigned with the Cardinals, while Chase Edmonds and Raheem Mostert both signed with the Dolphins and Marlon Mack signed with the Texans. Evan Engram signed with the Jaguars and it might be an upgrade for Engram.
Jake Tribbey wrote an exceptional article on why you should be skeptical of players switching teams in free agency.
A classic free agency question:
How does changing teams impact a player's fantasy production?
Mirroring @LordReebs' methodology and looking at all positions, here were the results ⬇️
— Jake Tribbey (@JakeTribbey)
4:08 PM • Mar 31, 2022
The Draft
Evan Silva and Adam Levitan's EstablishtheRun.com brought on dynasty guru Anthony Amico to evaluate college prospects that have declared for this year’s draft. The fact that there is no paywall here is mind-blowing - they cover the top players at each position. Enjoy this free alpha while you can. And if you're the gambling type, they have a free article on NFL Draft Props.
QB: You'll want to know about these QBs:
RB: The good news? This year's RB class is deep. The bad news? Scott Barrett says it's not good. And the more Graham Barfield charts this RB class, the less he likes it. When Graham talks, we listen.
RBs you'll want to know about, in order (click for profile):
Breece Hall, Kenneth Walker III, Isaiah Spiller, and Rachaad White. Hall is the typical RB the NFL seeks and seems the Tier 1 consensus pick here.
Power-5 RB Leaders by Total Missed Tackles Forced per Season (2014-2021)
1. Jonathan Taylor (74.3)
2. David Montgomery (73.0)
3. Breece Hall (66.7) 👀
4. A.J. Dillon (66.3)
5. Dalvin Cook (61.7)
6. Saquon Barkley (57.0)— John Kosko (@JohnKosko3)
5:23 PM • Apr 2, 2022
WR: Many have touted this year's class as a group of "good but not great" wide receivers. A few you'll want to know about, in order (click for profile):
Treylon Burks, Drake London, Garrett Wilson, Jameson Williams, David Bell, Skyy Moore, George Pickens, and Chris Olave.
Underrated part of Garrett Wilson's game is that he can fly
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz)
3:50 PM • Mar 31, 2022
TE: Find a way to draft Trey McBride. He puts Phil Mickelson to shame with those calves:
🚨PRO-DAY UPDATE
Colorado State TE Trey McBride (6034v, 245v), who didn’t run at Combine, ran 4.53-4.56 range on multiple NFL scouts ⏱ at today’s pro-day. This checks final box of pre-draft process for McBride and will solidify him as top TE on many boards around the league.— Jim Nagy (@JimNagy_SB)
4:50 PM • Mar 30, 2022
For additional draft-related reading, I've gone through the following and highly recommend:
ETR's 2022 Dynasty Rankings (include standard or SF/TE premium leagues)
The Rookie Scouting Portfolio (RSP) @MattWaldman’s RSP Cast: The 2022 WR Class Solo Cast (podcast outlining the WR class).
Fantasy Point's 2022 Off-season Report highlights the major moves to be aware of.
Quick Slants
Yes, 32 NFL owners finally approved an overtime rule for postseason games to ensure both teams get a possession.
The NFL’s third all-time leading rusher, Frank Gore, will be signing a one-day contract with the 49ers and will retire from the NFL. Congrats on a legendary career, Frank the Tank. HOF next?
Pete Carroll explains why Seattle traded Russell Wilson a few weeks after saying they had "no intention" to move their star QB (video).
Bruce Arians retired again and moved to the Bucs' front office. Former DC Todd Bowles was promoted to HC and plans to be the "chill coach." Did Brady play a role in Arians' retirement? Pat McAfee explores conspiracy theories (video).
Tweet of the Day
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
The story of when former TB HC Bruce Arians chose to coach (h/t to @Sharpfootball):
Thanks for joining us this morning - I hope you missed us as much as we missed you. We'll see you again next Monday. And remember, if Adam Gase was an NFL coach for 6 years, you can do anything. See you next Monday.
- Jake, Eddie, Coach Wehler & Matt
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