🏈 Injuries and Committees

Why we're buying Allen Lazard... Lamar says nah, RB committees spring up & a quick hospital visit.

September 10, 2022

Good morning and happy Saturday. We survived another week (unlike the some royalty).

Now, imagine being so good at your job that you'd turn down millions of dollars. For more money. Lamar Jackson gets it. Lamar declined the latest Ravens’ offer and bet on himself. He now will make $23 million this season and is expected to be franchise tagged after the season.

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MARKET

Packers WR Allen Lazard should be at the top of your buy list. Yes, Lazard is doubtful for Sunday’s game vs. Minnesota due to his ankle injury, but it's Week 1. Lazard owners are annoyed he's out, getting cold feet on him. Now's the time to make that trade offer.

Here's why Allen Lazard could be the biggest value in fantasy football for 2022 (by @CPatrickNFL):

  • Aaron Rodgers: "Who I don't think we need any patience with is Allen. I really think Allen is ready to make a jump and be a No. 1 receiver.”

  • Allen Lazard has been incredibly efficient with Rodgers so far in his career. Lazard has a 10.28 AYA on 151 career targets from Rodgers — the 2nd best rate of any WR in Rodgers’ career, trailing only Jordy Nelson.

Please sit Breece Hall this week. Jets offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur said RB Michael Carter is the "heartbeat of our offense." YOUR HEARTBEAT KEEPS YOU ALIVE.

Tandems everywhere: Denver to Dallas

Nathaniel Hackett on RB split with Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon:

"I've always been a true believer in you want to roll with the hot hand. One guy gets going, you want to be sure to keep feeding that person. But I think they're going to be great compliments to each other." Great, another committee.

Still, Hackett has had a top 10 fantasy RB in 3/5 years as an OC. My guess is Javonte has the "hot hand" more often than Melvin.

What kinda name is Melvin?

Meanwhile, in Texas:

Straight up, good, old fashioned content

@WesHuberNFL’s Advanced Matchup column is back, free for Week 1. This single handedly wins leagues. One excerpt:

QB Matchup to Target: Joe Burrow vs Steelers' Cover 1. The 2022 Steelers' defense is coached by Teryl Austin (influenced by Ray Rhodes and Chuck Pagano), who we can count on to utilize high rates of Cover 1 and 4.

Burrow has simply shredded all forms of man coverage. During his NFL career, Burrow has produced the second-most FPs/dropback across from Cover 1. He has added the second-most YPA (9.2), third-most air YPA (10.9), third-highest passer rating (108.2), and third-highest TD rate (11.5%). Needless to say, Burrow should be on everyone’s prime target list for Week 1.

@GrahamBarfield has a new, late-week column covering (no paywall):

  • Weekend waiver wire

  • Favorite FLEX plays

  • Fades & more

  • Click here

HOSPITAL VISIT

Hey Nurse, how’s my Fantasy Team?

A great article by @TheRealAdam_H answers injury-related questions like: When a player is listed as Questionable but ends up actually playing, how is their fantasy production impacted? Over 1,200 injuries sorted by type and position - check it out here. 

  • Chris Godwin update: the decision on Godwin “will come right up to game time.” Here's why this is massive for Mike Evans:

  • Diontae Johnson is expected to play despite some recent injury issues.

  • James Robinson and Cam Akers are in a BAD group of post-achilles injury RBs (TLDR: no one recovers strong).

A summary for this weekend:

QUICK SLANTS

  • Listen to "one of the best sports bettors of all time, @DavidowMatthew" breaking down the Sunday slate (audio).

  • Russell Wilson is now practicing his high five entrance 😂 (video)

  • Allen Robinson needs to start joining the breakfast club, because he was open on Thursday night (video)

  • Watch the top-25 catches of last season & dream of opening day! (video)

Thanks for joining us this AM. Now go make some last-minute moves you'll regret later.

Jake, Eddie, Matt & Coach Wehler.

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