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š The Jon Gruden experiment ends
Monday Night Miracles, Resignations, Waivers, and the newest fantasy platform.
Good morning.
What a weekend, and what a game last night. We saw a Kyle Pitts explosion, Kadarius Toney breakout, Monday Night Miracles, and Jon Grudenās emails...
The best part? The incredible feedback from all of you. Thank you - You are the best.
Weāve got a Jon Gruden update, the waivers of the week, and some big news.
Letās get into it:
Week 6 Waiver Gems
The waiver wire grows in importance every week - we now have 5 weeks of info (and plenty of injuries) to evaluate players. Last week, we begged you to pick up Dawson Knox and Kadarius Toney.
Hereās what we said about Knox:
If you listened, congrats. If not, thereās still hope:
Kadarius Toney
Toney was our guy last week - and he outperformed our expectations, finishing with 10 catches for 189 yards, despite leaving the game twice (injury (which we'll monitor) and ejected for channeling his inner Tyson Fury).
Punching a helmet is a high IQ move
The Giants have been decimated by injuries and Toney is the most talented player healthy: expect 10-12 targets per game. Heās a game-changing talent with the ball in his hands and enters WR2 territory. The danger is a possible team-mandated suspension or injury, which could make him easier to grab off waivers.
Not sold?
Kadarius Toney: 93.3 receiving grade in Week 5
1st among all WRs š
ā PFF (@PFF)
4:00 PM ā¢ Oct 11, 2021
Rhamondre Stevenson
After going absolutely bonkers this preseason, Rhamondre spent the early part of the season in Bill Belichickās doghouse (after fumbling Week 1). On Sunday he saw 11 touches, had a touchdown (called back), and didnāt fumble.
Two points:
Volume is king in fantasy football, and Rhamondre could see a MASSIVE workload. Damien Harris left the game, James White is on the IR, and Stevenson just has to beat Brandon Bolden. While Harris looks like heāll be active Week 6, we always over-prepare.
Rhamondre was an underrated prospect with elite comparisons:
Since 2015, there are only four Power-5 RBs to average at least 100.0 rushing YPG and 35.0 receiving YPG in a single season:
- Christian McCaffrey (2015)
- Dalvin Cook (2016)
- Joe Mixon (2016)
- Rhamondre Stevenson (2020)ā Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB)
3:23 AM ā¢ Aug 13, 2021
Dan Arnold
In just his second week with the team, Arnold led the Jaguars in targets, catches, and yards. Without D.J. Chark, and with rookie Trevor Lawrence targeting TEās at such a high clip, Arnoldās role should continue to grow. The Jags gave a CB drafted in the top 10 for Arnold and a 3rd. They have big plans for him.
Which TEs are playing from WR alignments the most?
1. Mike Gesicki - 96% WR alignment rate
2. Dan Arnold - 84.4%
3. Logan Thomas - 79%
4. Kyle Pitts - 78%
5. Hunter Henry - 74%
6. Travis Kelce - 72%
7. TJ Hockenson - 68%
8. Zach Ertz - 65%ā Jake Tribbey (@JakeTribbey)
10:52 PM ā¢ Oct 7, 2021
HONOURABLE MENTIONS
Darrel Williams: CEH suffered a knee injury Sunday and is expected to sideline him for multiple weeks. Williams wonāt see huge volume (splitting with Jerrick McKinnon) but will get the goal-line work.
Devontae Booker: If you need an RB, Booker is your RB2 fill-in. Saquon shouldnāt miss more than two weeks, so donāt go crazy, but Booker will see all the volume in this backfield.
Geno Smith: What if Genoās good? Worth a shot if you need a backup QB.
Alex Collins: Edwin Porras of Fantasy Points wrote that Chris Carson is likely dealing with an arthritic condition, which means this issue isnāt going away any time soon and could flare up again.
Khalil Herbert: Herbert surprisingly finished with more snaps (34 to 31), carries (18 to 16), and rushing yards (75 to 64) than Damien Williams. This is a committee, with Williams taking the goal line work.
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Jared Goff is feeding St. Brown, with 16 combined targets for 13/135 receiving in the past 2 weeks.
The stock market, but for fantasy football
Iāve always tried to make money in the stock market, but donāt know much about businesses (and hate reading balance sheets).
If only there was a stock market for fantasy footballā¦
Prediction Strike would like a word
The team at Prediction Strike finally built what Iāve been waiting for: a stock market for fantasy football. I found these guys and reached out to learn more š
Hereās how it works:
You buy a āshareā of a player who you think outscores their projections
If the player beats projections, the value of the share goes up
You can buy or sell players at any time
Think of it like your dynasty team having actual monetary value that changes each week
I asked Prediction Strike to give you all a discount code (HUDDLE) - click here to check out their iPhone app and get a free share when you deposit $20 or more. Andriod here.
They went above and beyond. As big fans of the newsletter, they even offered to sponsor the Morning Huddle! Highly recommend checking out Prediction Strike (go see how high Kadarius Toneyās stock went up (and why heās still a buy)).
Jon Gruden is GONE
Yesterday, the New York Times released new emails that led to Grudenās resignation. The emails featured Gruden using a homophobic slur to describe commissioner Roger Goodell, his complaints about the league hiring female referees, and his disgust at the St. Louis Rams drafting openly gay pass rusher Michael Sam.
In todayās climate, the chances of Gruden holding his job were slim - Late last night, Gruden informed the team of his resignation. Itās unlikely Gruden ever coaches again after lasting less than 3.5 years into his 10-year, $100 million contract.
The Raiders subsequently promoted assistant coach and special teams coordinator Rich Bisaccia to interim head coach. You can read about Bisacciaās background here.
Quick Slants
Injuries, injuries, and more injuries
Kenny Golladay suffered a hyperextended knee Sunday and will miss Week 6.
Trey Lance suffered a sprained knee in Week 5. 49ers have a bye this week, and we expect Jimmy Garoppolo to win his job back. Droppable.
The report on Saquon Barkley (low ankle sprain) "was better than it could have been," but Joe Judge gave no timetable for his return.
Tua Tagaviola (ribs) is throwing again and hopes to return next week. Canāt come soon enough for the 1-4 Dolphins.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire will miss a few weeks with an MCL sprain.
Juju Smith-Schuster and Maxx Williams are both expected to miss the remainder of the NFL season after suffering brutal injuries.
Tweet of the Day
We love Dan Campbell. Does any team deserve a W more than the Lions?
Dan Campbell, with tears in his eyes, says he wanted to win very badly.
Heartbreaking loss again this season.
ā Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman)
8:27 PM ā¢ Oct 10, 2021
Thanks for joining me this morning, and thank you to Prediction Strike. If youāve ever enjoyed investing in stocks, imagine how fun it will be to invest in fantasy football playersā¦
Even better news? Prediction Strike launched their biggest promotion ever: a deposit match program where users get up to 100 free shares. Promo code: HUDDLE.
Canāt wait to see you all tomorrow, when I feature the best comments and ideas from the survey.
Also - what was the best Monday Night Miracle you saw yesterday?
- Jake
The Morning Huddle: an (almost) daily newsletter full of fantasy football news, memes, and stats - giving you the edge to win titles and the laughs to enjoy every minute of it.
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