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đ A Little Pick-Em Up
Mac Jones uses Ankle Twist and it's very effective. Also: Odell update, the worst draft class in NFL history, and the top waiver pickups of Week 10.
Good morning. Picking NFL games is similar to the Raiders 2020 draft: Useless.
In Week 8, only 1 of 8 teams favored by >4.0 points covered the spread
Favored teams went 7-8 (0.467)
In Week 9, only 1 of 7 teams favored by >5.5-points covered the spread
Favored teams went 6-7 (0.462)
â Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB)
8:12 PM ⢠Nov 8, 2021
After a video surfaced of former 1st rounder Damon Arnette wielding multiple weapons, the Raiders cut him:
The Las Vegas Raiders âcharacterâ department
In todayâs newsletter: 1) Waiver Report 2) Injury Updates 3) Best Articles 4) Odell Situation 5) Quick Slants.
Week 10 Waivers
Elijah Moore, Rhamondre & Brandon Aiyuk are Morning Huddle favorites (and the #1 adds if available). But youâre subscribers and had them stashed already.
Last Weekâs Huddle
QB: Trey Lance
After the Niners suffered a bad loss to the Cardinals, Jimmy G is once again in the hot seat. In relief earlier this season, Lance scored 20 points in one half. In his first career start: 14.6 fantasy points, which looks like his floor. With a Jalen Hurtsďťż + weapons ceiling, Lance has QB1 upside, and hopefully saves my season.
Jimmy Garoppolo just isnât ready yet to be a QB in the NFL.
He may have a lot of potential but if this team is trying to win they should go with Trey Lance.
â Jakob Sanderson (@FF_RTDB)
6:25 PM ⢠Nov 8, 2021
RB: Sony Michel
Sony Michel's role has expanded over the past two games (30% and 40% snaps), taking over half of the long-down-distance work and all of the two-minute offense.
He is a must-stash handcuff with RB1 upside if Darrell Henderson goes down (or if he somehow takes the job).
â Dwain McFarland (@dwainmcfarland)
6:50 PM ⢠Nov 8, 2021
Darrell Henderson briefly left Sundayâs game with an ankle injury, returning a few minutes later. RBs are the most injury-prone position in fantasy, and Michel is primed for a large role should Henderson miss time.
Jordan Howard has rushed 29 times for 128 yards and three touchdowns over two games. The de-facto leader in this backfield, Howard offers RB2 upside as long as Miles Sanders is out.
DâOnta Foreman played 22 percent of the snaps and carried the ball five times for 29 yards, but looked the best out of any Titans RB.
Brandon Bolden: Both Rhamondre Stevenson and Damien Harris left late in Week 9 with head injuries.
WR: Donovan Peoples-Jonesďťż
Ron Schwane/AP
DPJ played 61 percent of snaps, 2nd-most among Browns receivers in Week 9, turning three targets into 2/81 and a touchdown. The Browns went run-heavy and didnât need to throw. If DPJ gets open as often as OBJ did - and if Baker throws to him - big things are in store.
Russell Gage: Per Jake Tribby, Gage ran 30 routes and saw 8 targets on 35 Matt Ryan dropbacks, both team-highs. Despite the worst hurdle attempt of all time (video), the volume is there and Ryan clearly trusts Gage to fill in for Calvin Ridley.
TE: Logan Thomas
Just do it. A player with top-five upside at their position should not be on almost half of all waiver wires. The TE4 in 2020 was seeing insane volume before his injury:
2021 Tight Ends by Route Share
1. Logan Thomas (94%)
2. Darren Waller (90%)
3. Travis Kelce (86%)
4. Mark Andrews (86%)
5. TJ Hockenson (84%)
6. Kyle Pitts (81%)
7. Tyler Higbee (80%)
8. George Kittle (77%)â Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB)
9:52 PM ⢠Sep 28, 2021
Pat Freiermuth: Freiermuth deserves to keep the starting job even when Ebron returns to health.
Droppable: Marvin Jones, Laviska Shenault, Tyrod Taylor, my iPhone. Not Kadarius Toney, not yet.
Keep an eye on:
Imagine wearing this to your workplace
DeAndre Hopkins (hamstring) is "day-to-day," Trevor Lawrence "should be fine," and Michael Gallup (calf, IR) is expected to play in Week 10. Antonio Brown (ankle) is still in a walking boot and is unlikely to suit up.
NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports Mike White (forearm) is "fully healthy" and could start over Zach Wilson (knee) in Week 10. Corey Davis (hip) is expected to play in Week 10 against the Bills, impacting Elijah Mooreâs projected volume.
Russell Wilson (finger) has been cleared to play in Week 10 against the Packers, great news for D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.
Great Articles
Four interesting reads:
PFFâs biggest risers/fallers in fantasy football following NFL Week 9, including Chargers rookie WR Josh Palmer
2021-22 NFL Free Agency: Top 50 NFL Free Agent Rankings
Who were you laughed at for drafting that panned out for you? Leonard Fournette?
A great thread by Adam Harstad highlighting the two best young WR buys in Dynasty Leagues.
Shareholders Meeting
You know what sucks? Losing your entire bet on DFS. You know what rocks? Buying shares on Prediction Strike. Itâs the fantasy football stock market weâve all been dreaming of. To give you an idea, the most youâll lose on a player in a given week is 15%. The upside is incredible (itâs also a great time).
Together with Prediction Strike
Odell Update
#LetRussCook & #FreeOdell
After the Browns officially waived Odell Beckham Jr. (without restructuring his contract) Dan Campbell said the Lions "won't be on the market" for Odell, and 49ers HC Kyle Shanahan said the same, citing financial reasons.
Odell will have to clear waivers for the Saints to sign him, due to his $7.5 million cap hit. Per Saints beat writer Nick Underhill, Sean Payton said "I know it would produce hit-worthy news for everyone, but we wouldn't discuss [signing Odell]."
Odell wants to play for a contender; there could be "issues" for a team that claims him if he's not in a 'winning environment.'
The Seahawks have shown strong interest in adding Odell, a source says. Russell Wilson has urged Seahawks brass for an OBJ signing, and in recent days, team officials have done extensive research on the wideout
Seahawks HC Pete Carroll when asked if theyâll sign Odell: âYouâll seeâ
Jarvis Landry called Odell one of the best teammates heâs ever played with, while Justin Jefferson wore a 'Free Odell' hoodie during pregame warmups.
Quick Slants
Mac Jones should (at least) be fined for this dirty play that injured the Panthers defender. You can clearly see the grab, the trip, and the roll (video). This puts a damper on a great season for Jones, whose PFF rating of 81.0 is No. 12 among 40 qualified QBs and highest among rookie QBs.
The 49ers lost PFFâs #2 ranked run-blocking tackle (2020) for the remainder of the season after RT Mike McGlinchey tore his quad in Week 9.
Chase Edmonds suffered a high ankle sprain in Week 9 against the 49ers and could be headed to short-term IR, meaning James Conner is a low-end RB1 until Week 14.
Scott Hanson of NFL Red Zone was loving this all weekend: Josh Allen sacked, intercepted and recovered a fumble from QB Josh Allen.
The Titans basically said screw Michael Buffer and kicked the ball off (video).
Tweet of the Day
When someone says âthe other Josh Allenâ
#DUUUVAL
â Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars)
10:02 PM ⢠Nov 7, 2021
Thanks for joining me this morning, be great today. And remember, if Rex Grossman could play QB in a Super Bowl, you can do anything.
- Jake
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