Good morning. We miss fantasy football.

Like Joe Flacco in 2023, we’re off the couch and neglecting our families for a few weeks to chase greatness.

We’ll be in your inbox 1x per week — every Monday until the NFL Draft on Thursday, April 25th — covering the fantasy angle for all things NFL offseason. Free agency, trades, the draft, memes, and Jason Kelce’s wrestling career. After that, we go back to our day jobs until August.

👋 Also, hey! I’m Marcus — a lifelong (tortured) Browns fan and avid fantasy football player for 20+ years. I’ll be the lead writer of the newsletter this season, taking over for Jake (who was picked up by The Athletic to write their NFL newsletter).

WINNERS

The New King in Baltimore

1/5 Derrick Henry and the Ravens are a perfect match. Since Lamar Jackson became the starter in 2019, Ravens RBs are averaging a league-high 4.8 yards per carry, per Matthew Berry.

The King has had double-digit rushing TDs in each of his last six seasons and should continue that trend in Baltimore's explosive downhill offense. Keaton Mitchell is sure to have a role as the lightning to Henry’s thunder, but the sheer TD upside alone makes Henry one of the offseason’s biggest winners.

2/5 The Atlanta Falcons offense glowed-up this offseason. With former HC Arthur Smith now in Pittsburgh and Kirk Cousins under center, things are looking bright in the ATL. Over Cousins’ last four seasons in Minnesota, the Vikings ranked Top 5 in yards per game and red zone drives, which should lead to high-value touches for Falcons playmakers…

• In Bijan Robinson’s 12 games with 15-plus touches in his rookie season, he averaged 18.1 fantasy point per game — which would’ve been RB3 on the season (per Matthew Berry).

• New HC Raheem Morris dubbed Kyle Pitts the “Mayor of Atlanta” and described his skillset and role in the offense as limitless

• Despite Atlanta’s questionable coaching and QB play last season, Drake London still finished with more than 1,200 air yards and 905 receiving yards (per ESPN). London is in elite company…

3/5 Gus Edwards is the Chargers RB1, reuniting with Greg Roman and a run-heavy scheme in what could be a massive season. Per Sharp Football Analysis, since Edwards entered the NFL in 2018, there have been 44 running backs with 500 or more rushes. On his 699 runs, Edwards ranks among that group:

• 6th in yards per carry (4.9 YPC)

• 4th in EPA per rush (0.00)

• 1st in success rate (45.1%)

• 12th in rate of runs to gain 10 or more yards (11.6%)

• 1st in the lowest rate of runs that fail to gain yardage (11.4%)

• 1st in the rate of runs to result in a first down or touchdown (29.6%)

• 8th in yards after contact per rush (3.17 yards)

4/5 Saquon Barkley went from the outhouse to the penthouse. Behind a Giants o-line ranked 31st in Run Block Win %, Barkley averaged just 1.24 yards before contact per attempt (33rd in the NFL).

Meanwhile in Philly, the Eagles ranked 1st in Run Block Win %, and D’Andre Swift enjoyed a comfortable 2.21 yards before contact per attempt (8th in the NFL), per Tom Brolley of FantasyPoints and Warren Sharp. Jalen Hurts’ tush pushes could limit Barkley’s TD-upside, but Saquon in the open field is a scary sight.

5/5 Zack Moss “appears to be a strong fit for Zac Taylor’s shotgun-heavy offense in Cincinnati, as he averaged 5.20 yards per carry on carries out of shotgun in 11 personnel.

Only the Colts had more carries from shotgun in 11 personnel than the Bengals last season,” writes Scott Barrett of FantasyPoints. It’s a perfect scheme fit for Moss in Cincy.

6/5 Marquise Brown and his 4.32 speed should find success in KC. While he’s no Tyreek Hill, he’s also light years ahead of MVS or Mecole Hardman. Rashee Rice’s inevitable punishment for street-racing could lead to additional targets.

Honourable mentions:

• C.J. Stroud: He’s already been putting in work with his newest WR Stefon Diggs and should build upon a rookie season where his 18.7 Fantasy PPG ranked QB7.

• Raiders RB Zamir White saw Josh Jacobs walk, only Alexander Mattison added. In his four games as a starter, White had 84 carries, 397 yards, and one touchdown, and nine catches for 60 yards.

LOSERS

Helpless Herbert