🏈 Kyle Pitts & 2024 Regression Candidates

Players who should regress to the mean in 2024, along with deep sleepers, and a rookie spotlight on Xavier Worthy.

August 16, 2024

Good morning and happy Friday! We have a full slate of preseason games this weekend! That may sound exciting… but really it’s like drinking non-alcoholic beer — it may look the same and even taste the same, but you know it isn’t the real thing.

Today's newsletter highlights:

  • 🚑 J.J. McCarthy Out for the Year

  • 📈 Kyle Pitts & Other Regression Candidates

  • 🤿 Greg Dortch & Other Deep Dives

  • 🔦 Rookie Spotlight: Xavier Worthy

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AROUND THE LEAGUE

J.J. McCarthy to Miss Rookie Season

McCarthy’s debut will have to wait // ESPN

🚨 Vikings rookie QB J.J. McCarthy underwent a full meniscus repair and will miss the entire 2024 season, per NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport and Tom Pelissero. McCarthy showed promise in his first preseason game with two deep TD passes, but his regular season debut will have to wait. For 2024, it’s officially Sam Darnold redemption SZN…

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REGRESSION CANDIDATES

In fantasy football, "regression" means a player’s performance will likely move toward the mean (average) as the season progresses. Positive regression refers to a player who’s underperformed and is likely to improve, while negative regression refers to a player who’s overperformed and is likely to decline.

So let’s take a look at some of last year’s outliers…

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