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π The Show Goes On
Tua update, Joe Mixon's elite usage, Zach Wilson & much more
Good morning and happy Saturday. We survived another week - almost time to unwind with the best medicine: football.
First, a quick Tua Update. Tua is in 'good spirits' at his home in South Florida and initial tests showed no structural damage. He also posted a message thanking everyone for the support.
Appreciate all the support! ππΎ
β Tua. T π¦πΈ (@Tua)
9:30 PM β’ Sep 30, 2022
We've got a rankings update, content highlights and injury recap for you today.
MARKET
Ranking Reactions from TNF
π Tee Higgins has more receiving yards and fantasy points than Ja'Marr Chase. The gap between these two receivers is much tighter than ADP reflected.
π Tyreek Hill - Hill finished the game with 14 targets and a 10-160 statline. Hill looked is and will be the dominate target earner, regardless of QB.
π Jaylen Waddle - Waddle finished with just 5 targets. 2 catches for 39 yards came in the first half. Waddle owners shouldn't panic yet, but Teddy B could be a big downgrade.
π Chase Edmonds - Over the Dolphins' last two games, Raheem Mostert has out-snapped (70 to 37) and out-carried (23 to 11) Chase Edmonds. Edmonds did have 2 touchdowns last week, and should have had 2 again Thursday night, which indicates he is getting a lot of the high-leverage snaps. But he is still impossible to trust in most leagues.
π Joe Mixon - Mixon finally found the endzone for the first time this season and logged a healthy 24 carries and 4 catches. He also continued his elite usage:
Joe Mixon's role this season is outrageous:
* 223-of-301 snaps (74%)
* 87% of the RB carries
* 108 routes on 184 Joe Burrow dropbacks
* 24 targets for a 15.4% share
* Leads NFL with 14 carries from inside the 10-yard line
* Leads NFL with 7 carries from inside the 5-yard lineβ Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan)
4:46 PM β’ Sep 30, 2022
CONTENT
Best Reads & Listens of the Day (no paywalls)
Ian Hartitz outlines injury notes and analysis for Week 4 in this must-read article on PFF. On Jets QB Zach Wilson (knee): "Not listed on the final injury report and will start Sunday against the Steelers. Iβd prefer to see just how healthy Wilson is before going out of my way to squeeze anybody involved in this offense into a starting lineup. This goes for running back, wide receiver and tight end alike."
This Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase stat surprise anyone?
Make that now 591 professional football routes run simultaneously for Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase.
The results:
Targets
136 - Higgins
116 - ChaseCatches
92 - Higgins
71 - ChaseYards
1,378 - Higgins
1,215 - ChasePPR points
277.8 - Higgins
243.1 - Chaseβ Jacob Gibbs (@jagibbs_23)
3:43 AM β’ Sep 30, 2022
Is Buffalo's Khalil Shakir Worth the Wait? Matt Waldman delivers his scouting report of Khalil Shakir and shows you why this deep dive rookie WR is worth monitoring this year as a potential injury replacement for Stefon Diggs.
In dynasty leagues, I'd seriously consider involving him as a pot-sweetener in larger formats if someone wants to package players for a deal. I'm skeptical that Davis will ever be what the buzz was for him this summer whereas I'm optimistic that Shakir will outplay his fifth-round draft status like his fellow fifth-rounder teammate, Diggs.
Wide receiver shadow matchups, best/worst mismatches and Week 4 rankings, article by PFF. Justin Jefferson vs. Marshon Lattimore: "Lattimore has spent 88% of his snaps this season as an outside corner; Jefferson (33% slot rate) should avoid this matchup more than expected and at his best is good enough to dominate even the leagueβs better one-on-one corners like Lattimore anyway."
Jalen Hurts isn't even in his final form. We're just waiting for a week where the opponent can keep the game close and he goes nuclear. Below is his potential upside.
To adjust for blowouts, by excluding the second-half of his games...
This season, Jalen Hurts is averaging:
+ 29.8 passing fantasy points per 4 quarters
+ 20.6 rushing fantasy points per 4 quarters
+ 50.4 total fantasy points per 4 quartersI triple-checked this. No typos.
β Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB)
8:05 PM β’ Sep 26, 2022
HOSPITAL VISIT
Hey Nurse, is Anyone on My Fantasy Team Active this Week?
A LOT of players are already ruled OUT heading into Week 4. Here's the short list:
Bears ruled out RB David Montgomery for Sunday's game at the NY Giants - @AdamSchefter. Khalil Herbert will be better than a cold beer on a summer's day.
The Lions have ruled out both RB D'Andre Swift (shoulder) and Amon-Ra St. Brown (ankle) for Sunday's game vs. Seattle. This is a boost for DJ Chark, who Dan Campbell confirmed is good to go for Sunday.
Michael Thomas is OUT Sunday. Alvin Kamara and Jarvis Landry are questionable and Jameis Winston is doubtful. Fading the Saints this week.
Keenan Allen (hamstring) is out again for Sunday vs. the Texans, per @TomPelissero. FIRE up Mike Williams. But you know that.
If you have been unfortunate enough to hold on to them this long, Wan'Dale Robinson and Kadarius Toney are both out for the game against the Bears, per @NFL_DovKleiman.
Everyone else:
Players out Sunday include Michael Thomas, Mac Jones, Dak Prescott, Amon-Ra St. Brown, D'Andre Swift, David Montgomery, Jaylon Johnson, Kadarius Toney, Leonard Williams, Jordan Phillips, Avonte Maddox, Boston Scott, Hunter Renfrow, Keenan Allen, Brevin Jordan and Akiem Hicks.
β Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter)
2:06 AM β’ Oct 1, 2022
What's the good news, Doc?
Christian McCaffrey spoke to the media on Friday and was asked if he's ready to go Sunday. His response: "Yeah, I feel great." -@augustalstone
Vikings RB Dalvin Cook (shoulder) is off the injury report and will play against the Saints on Sunday. - @TomPelissero
Bills WR Gabe Davis said his ankle felt good at practice Friday and was quoted saying, "I'm playing Sunday." - @JoeBuscaglia
James Conner (knee) came off the injury report on Friday.
QUICK SLANTS
In Kirk Cousins's last trip across the pond to London he threw for a career high in passing yards (458) which is a single-game London record. -@NFL
Eagles' CB Avonte Maddox has been ruled out Sunday vs. Jaguars. "Big blow to the Eagles secondary, especially with Christian Kirk spending so much time in the slot." - @EliotShorrParks
Per PFF, Marshon Lattimore in coverage this season: Week 1 - 1 catch allowed, 6 yards; Week 2 - 2 catches allowed, 17 yards; Week 3 - 0 catches allowed. Things aren't looking great again for Justin Jefferson after two slow weeks.
Just a reminder - there's a game in London this weekend, so set you lineups Saturday to be safe. Now go do something you'll regret tomorrow.
Jake, Eddie, Matt & Coach Wehler.
Tweet of the Day
Zac Taylor every play:
β Akash (@YZR_Fantasy)
2:53 AM β’ Sep 30, 2022
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