Good morning. It feels like just “a couple” of years ago that Eli Manning escaped the pocket and lobbed a prayer up to David Tyree for the Helmet Catch.

But 2008 was a long, long time ago.

Just ask any fans of the 2-8 New England Patriots or the 3-8 New York Football Giants.

Congratulations to the two NFL Jersey winners (Jeff & Elijah)! The lucky b——s went with a powder blue Justin Herbert jersey and a black Joe Burrow.

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TRIVIA

RANKINGS

Tony Pollard rises to RB14. The positive TD regression is finally paying dividends for Pollard holders, as he’s scored in back-to-back games. He hasn’t lived up to the preseason hype but is still the RB1 on the highest scoring offense in the league.

Quentin Johnston falls to WR62. An already disappointing rookie season hit its lowest point last Sunday when he dropped a potential game-winning TD. His 38.9% success rate vs. man coverage and 50.9% success rate vs. zone are the 2nd-lowest in the history of Matt Harmon’s Reception Perception…

Our rest-of-season 0.5 PPR rankings were updated early this morning 👇️ 

START EM SIT EM

Quarterback

Start Trevor Lawrence. His matchup against the Texans is fantastic. Over their last six games, Houston is allowing a 69% completion rate (5th-highest), 8.0 YPA (3rd-most), and 290.5 passing yards per game (2nd-most)”, per Graham Barfield of Fantasy Points.

Sit Derek Carr. Carr is QB27 in points per game, tied with Desmond Ridder and Taylor Heinicke at 12.2 points. There’s zero reason to force him into your lineups this week (outside of Superflex/2 QB leagues).

Start Josh Dobbs. The Bears defense is better with CB Jaylon Johnson healthy; they are allowing the 2nd-fewest yards per attempt over the last six weeks. But Dobbs’ rushing floor (65 yards and 2 TDs in two games with the Vikings) keeps him a starter.

• Stream Baker Mayfield. He's on pace for 4,061 passing yards and faces a Colts defense that allowed Derek “Mid” Carr to post 310-2…

• Stream Gardner Minshew against a Buccaneers secondary allowing 25.9 fantasy points per game to QBs over the past month.

Running Back

Start Kyren Williams. Rams HC Sean McVay said: “If he’s feeling good, we want him to be able to have a normal workload.” Williams’ normal workload? The Rams RB1 posted 97%, 100%, 73%, 85% and 83% snap shares in five full games. The Rams face a Cardinals defense giving up the third-most fantasy points to RBs. The last time Williams faced the Cardinals, he finished as RB3 with 21.8 points.

Sit Devin Singletary. This is a tough pill to swallow after consecutive RB3 and RB11 finishes. But if Dameon Pierce (ankle) returns, the Texans plan to split the load between their two RBs. Facing a Jags defense allowing just 87 rushing yards per game (4th-lowest), you’re taking a big risk starting Singletary. The last game Singletary and Pierce played together (against an awful Panthers run defense), neither scored over 5.3 half-ppr points.

Start Keaton Mitchell if you need a boom/bust player (i.e. you’re projected to lose by 15+). Last week, Mitchell played the most snaps of his career. As Alfredo Brown of FootballGuys noted, the Chargers are allowing the second-most receiving yards to RBs. All it takes is one check-down to Mitchell and his 4.37 speed could turn any touch into a TD.

• Start Isiah Pacheco. Jerick McKinnon (groin) will miss Week 12’s matchup against the Raiders, leaving Pacheco to compete with the ghost of Clyde Edwards-Helaire.

• Sit all the Bears RBs. With D’Onta Foreman (ankle) expected to play, together with Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson, this should be a three-headed committee. Gross.